I think you’re mistaking improvements in tooling as improvements in the LLMs. LLMs are plateauing. The idea of exponential growth is an illusion. We took 20+ year old technology, geared it toward text (the LLM), and trained it on the entire Internet. Then, it’s popularity grew exponentially.

This is the hype narrative that Altman, Dario, Jensen, etc. push. They are trying to convince everyone that what we have is the Model T Ford of AI. Just imagine where we’ll be in 6 months!

Not before it wipes out windows.

100%. In my opinion, the whole “build your program around your model of the world” mantra has caused more harm than good. Lots of “best practices” seem to be accepted without any quantitative measurement to prove it’s actually better. I want to think it’s just the growing pains of a young field.