NBC News’ Decision Desk has characterized the Alaska Senate race as likely Democratic. GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan currently trails Peltola, with both under the 50% mark.
True, but at 49.8% with 96% of votes counted—assuming the same ratio at 100% counted (rather than reaching 50% outright)—Peltola only needs 5% of third-candidate voters (who represent 4.1% of the total so far) to list her as their second preference to win.
While I’m pretty certain where this will end up, “assuming the same ratio” is paved with good intentions. That said, this is the exact scenario RCV is designed for. No one wants a Dewey Defeats Truman moment in the meantime.
It ain’t over until the AP calls it. They have a record to protect.
True, but at 49.8% with 96% of votes counted—assuming the same ratio at 100% counted (rather than reaching 50% outright)—Peltola only needs 5% of third-candidate voters (who represent 4.1% of the total so far) to list her as their second preference to win.
While I’m pretty certain where this will end up, “assuming the same ratio” is paved with good intentions. That said, this is the exact scenario RCV is designed for. No one wants a Dewey Defeats Truman moment in the meantime.