Jeremy Scahill and Murtaza Hussain
Feb 18, 2026

A former senior U.S. intelligence official who is an informal advisor to the Trump administration on Middle East policy told Drop Site that, based on his discussions with current officials, he assesses an 80-90% likelihood of U.S. strikes within weeks.

Iran realizes that it is facing an unprecedented threat from the U.S. if a deal that conforms with Trump’s terms is not reached, former Pentagon official Jasmine El-Gamal told Drop Site. “This is not a dress rehearsal,” she said. “This is it. This is not the negotiations of last year or the year before or the year before that. They’re backed into a corner. There’s no off ramp.”

    • Piperpiper1@lemmy.ml
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      23 hours ago

      There’s no fucking way you’re this stupid, so drop the bait.

      Engage in good faith, fuckhead. The country that is funding a genocide in Palestine, killed 1.5M Iraqis and almost 1M Afghanis in recent history targets fucking civilians more than they do military targets.

        • Piperpiper1@lemmy.ml
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          4 hours ago

          You completely ignored my point because you don’t have sensible response or argument. You’re just a dumbass after all.

          • couldhavebeenyou@lemmy.zip
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            3 hours ago

            You really need to up your swearing game again though

            It makes you sound like a strong man. And it adds a certain weight to your arguments as well

    • CommieKhinkali@lemmygrad.ml
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      1 day ago

      can you define the regime? israel has been claiming that the citizens and children they murder are part of hamas, the usa could easily say that the civilians they kill were the members of “the regime”. now why would they do that? idk you ask them why they killed millions of citizens of afghanistan and iraq and get back to me.

      • couldhavebeenyou@lemmy.zip
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        21 hours ago

        ‘The regime’ = the Iranian government including their religious leadership

        You seem more focused on Palestine than what’s going on in Iran tbh

    • Wakmrow [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      1 day ago

      Gestures to all of US history.

      But real talk you can’t overthrow a government with planes. So they’ll target civilians as “part of the government” in order to try to start an uprising against Iran. It’s the same logic as sanctions.